Download Dangerous Strait: The U.S.-Taiwan-China Crisis by Nancy Bernkopf Tucker Ph.D. PDF

By Nancy Bernkopf Tucker Ph.D.

This present day the main harmful position on the earth is arguably the Taiwan Strait, the place a conflict among the us and China might erupt out of miscalculation, false impression, or coincidence. How and to what measure Taiwan pursues its personal nationwide identification could have profound ramifications in its courting with China in addition to in relatives among China and the United States.Events past due in 2004 tested the volatility of the location, as Taiwan's legislative elections all of sudden preserved a slender majority for supporters of nearer kin with China. Beijing, however, threatened to move an anti-secession legislation, apt to revitalize pro-independence forces in Taiwan -- and make struggle much more likely. Taking switch as a principal subject matter, those essays by way of trendy students and practitioners within the area of U.S.-Taiwan-Chinese family members mix historic context with well timed research of an accelerating quandary. The ebook clarifies old advancements, examines myths approximately previous and current guidelines, and assesses concerns dealing with modern policymakers. relocating past simplistic reasons that dominate dialogue in regards to the U.S.-Taiwan-China dating, harmful Strait demanding situations universal knowledge and ways the political, monetary, and strategic points of the cross-Strait scenario anew. the result's a set that offers clean and much-needed insights right into a advanced challenge and examines the ways that disaster should be shunned. The essays study a number of concerns, together with the move for independence and its position in Taiwanese family politics; the underlying weaknesses of democracy in Taiwan; and the importance of China and Taiwan's monetary interdependence. within the defense enviornment, participants offer incisive evaluations of Taiwan's incomplete army modernization; lines in U.S.-Taiwan family members and their differing interpretations of China's intentions; and the faulty inclination between a few U.S. policymakers to desert Washington's conventional coverage of strategic ambiguity. (5/22/05)

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Thus, a widespread expectation developed that the president would play the leading role in the government—an expectation that was based on practice, not constitutional principle. After 1996, this assumption was reinforced: the president, unlike any other political figure in Taiwan, was chosen in a nationwide election, and thus bore a unique mandate. In May 2000, Chen Shui-bian was inaugurated as president, and the problematic relationships among the president, premier, and legislature suddenly became starkly evident.

An editorial in the Taipei Times on October 6 took the Chen administration to task for promoting referendums on political grounds: The problem with these mini-referendums is that they threaten to bring the whole idea of referendums to decide highly controversial issues into TAIWAN’S DEMOCRATIZATION 27 disrepute. People will soon begin to see referendums both large and small as a money-wasting way of telling us what we already knew. . The mess that the whole referendum issue is in is, of course, the result of the ineptness of the government’s policy.

The People First Party was formed after former-KMT superstar Soong Chu-yu (James Soong) left the party to run an independent presidential campaign. The PFP’s issue positions are vague; its differences with the KMT are primarily political. Soong, the PFP leader, agreed in early 2003 to take the vice presidential position on a KMT-led ticket for the 2004 election, suggesting that the parties’ differences are manageable. Many observers have speculated that the KMT and PFP may eventually recombine; however, mutual suspicion and animosity seem quite strong among rank-and-file KMT and PFP politicians.

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